HDB Financial Services Limited Unlisted Shares Events

NSDL, India’s pioneering depository, combines institutional dominance with robust digital public infrastructure capabilities. As it approaches listing, its strengths in high-margin revenues and regulatory trust are offset by retail underpenetration and emerging fintech threats.

NSDL’s pre-IPO grey-market valuation implies a 63.3× trailing P/E, but actual listing prices could swing widely depending on investor confidence, regulatory clarity, and execution on digital and banking ventures. Scenario modeling across 55× to 75× forward P/E multiples shows a potential price range of ₹1,103–₹1,504, offering a roadmap for assessing risk-adjusted upside.

NSDL’s rich unlisted valuation reflects its institutional edge, digital infrastructure revenues, and upside from its Payments Bank, but post-IPO, some premium may normalize. With CDSL riding strong retail growth and expanding fintech partnerships, the valuation gap could narrow as earnings converge over FY26–27.

NSE’s upcoming IPO has investors drawing parallels with BSE’s explosive post-listing returns, backed by its FY25 financial strength, market dominance, and rising retail interest. With key governance issues addressed, NSE’s listing could unlock significant shareholder value—potentially outpacing BSE’s success.

The NSE’s FY25 performance exemplifies Warren Buffett’s toll road investment philosophy, showcasing dominant market share, recurring revenues, high margins, and systemic indispensability. Its monopoly-like presence in India’s financial ecosystem makes it a resilient, high-quality long-term asset.

In FY25, NSE outpaced BSE across all key financial metrics, driven by its dominance in derivatives, diversified revenue streams, and superior cost efficiency. While BSE showed growth in mutual funds and SME platforms, it continues to trail NSE in scale and profitability.